Team Player…Squid has been around long enough to be cynical about a lot of things: Imitation shrimp-meat just isn’t as flavorful as the real thing; Donald Trump may just be engaged in an elaborate piece of performance art; and even the much-celebrated COP21 agreement out of Paris is unenforceable, leaving room for nations to wriggle out of real reductions in greenhouse gas emissions.
But Squid generally believes that within our bitterly partisan political system, candidates can reliably count on their respective parties to have their backs. No matter how fringey they are, there’s a party machine to help them do the nitty-gritty work of campaigning: walking door-to-door to talk to voters, making phone calls to ask for donations, stuffing envelopes.
So Squid would’ve expected the Monterey County Central Republican Committee to kick into high gear to support the campaign of Pacific Grove City Councilwoman Casey Lucius for U.S. Congress. After 23 years, unbeatable incumbent Sam Farr is retiring (he’s never lost an election in his entire career), leaving an open seat. Lucius is facing off with Democratic Jimmy Panetta, who’s so far the only Dem to announce he’s running, laying the groundwork for what amounts to an anointment to the seat formerly held by his father, Leon Panetta.
Squid would think Republicans would flock to Lucius. She’s ambitious (aiming for Congress from one term on City Council—but then again, that’s more experience in elected office than Panetta), smart (formerly a professor at the Naval Postgraduate School) and well-versed in national security (her proposed policy against ISIS is a popular GOP position: ground troops, economic sanctions, plus a cyber-attack against the tech-savvy recruiters).
So Squid was a little surprised to learn that the local GOP hasn’t fully embraced Lucius’ campaign as their own. So was Lucius. “I wish I had more help,” she tells Squid’s colleague. “I wish the Republican Party was more capable and structured.
“This is where the Democratic Party is so successful: It seems like they have this machine in place, that they know how to get the vote and raise money. They have donor lists. At every level—national, state and county—the Republican Party just seems like it doesn’t have the same organization or momentum.
“Going into this, I thought, ‘There will be all this help behind the scenes.’ That hasn’t been there.”
Local GOP party shot-caller Paul Bruno says the party has limited resources, and is likely to allocate more on local races. (Sounds to Squid like code for, Lucius will likely get clobbered by Panetta.)
Or maybe it’s because Lucius believes climate change is real, despite the party line. Or that she’s a believer in affordable housing. Or that she’s a vegan. Squid gets it: Those things are a little scary to hard-line Republicans. But Squid thought partisan allegiance was as American as apple pie. Or maybe this is what happens when a Republican candidate starts asking questions about the ingredients in a slice of apple pie.

(2) comments
Actually, she's vegetarian, not vegan--I've discussed this with her personally. I attended the town hall meeting on November 17th that she hosted at Republican Party Headquarters in Monterey, and when asked by a GOP hardliner in the audience if she would support what he described as the CA State GOP platform, including repeal of Roe v. Wade, and opposing gay marriage, she firmly said she would not. She's also a moderate on immigration reform, and as noted in the column, not a climate change denier.
So it's not surprising that local GOP support has been lukewarm.
Bob Gotch
Carmel By The Sea
Almost from the moment Jimmy Panetta entered the race, there was virtual unanimity among pundits that he would basically be unbeatable. This attitude (also apparent with at least a significant portion of the public-at-large) is pretty distressing.
My assessment is not a reflection on Mr. Panetta himself -- who from media reports at the very least seems intelligent and capable (plus, I personally know both his father and brother Chris, both of whom are impressively capable) -- but on the ailing local political process. How is it "acceptable" that (lack of) process seems to be anointing an "heir apparent" before ANY policy debates have even taken place between candidates or really before any significant campaigning has occurred?!
That critique aside, Casey Lucius (or any local Republican) definitely has an enormous mountain to climb.
The Cook Partisan Voter Index for CA's 20th congressional district is D+20. This measures voters' likely propensity to vote for one party over another. In our local case it is higher than in most of California (only 10 districts are higher, generally in the SF Bay area). Simplistically, what this PVI means is that (everything else being equal) for federal elected office (at least) a Democrat will beat a Republican by approximately 20% of the vote.
In this situation, of course, not everything else is close to "equal." Panetta undoubtedly has better name recognition and probably better access to campaign funds. Meanwhile, Casey Lucius, I hope (for a balanced campaign) will "work" much harder and smarter.
Another interesting point: when Bill McCampbell came quite close to beating Sam Farr in the early 1990s, the PVI was (from memory) more like D+8. This means Lucius' mountain is likely even steeper.
The local Republican party undoubtedly knows all this and may be hedging its bet accordingly.
That said, Lucius has a great many candidate "selling points," which -- if properly leveraged -- could prove to be a winning combination. Not only is Lucius smart, she also has smart advisers. They may just figure a way through. Also, depending on the political climate in 2016, there may in fact be quite a bit of voter backlash against the idea of a political dynasty.
At the very least, if Lucius can raise enough of a campaign fund to ensure her message is spread, this will probably be the most interesting race this district has seen in two decades.
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