Here's what Hillary Clinton has going for her, and doesn't.

The Democratic primary is now a two-person race, with Hillary still in the lead nationally and Bernie with momentum and enthusiasm. Democratic primaries are a referendum on the status quo, so Sanders’ chances depend at least as much on Clinton’s weaknesses as on his strengths.

The Good: As in her (losing) 2008 run against Barack Obama, Hillary’s strategists are selling competence and experience. “A progressive who gets things done,” she is calling herself.

Scratch a little, however, and there’s precious little evidence of substantial things she actually got done. Googling phrases like “Hillary Clinton’s biggest accomplishments” yields liststhat include “most-traveled Secretary of State” and “gave a speech in Geneva standing up for gay rights.”

HILLARY’S “ACHIEVEMENTS” ARE ACTIVITIES, NOT ACCOMPLISHMENTS.

Hillary’s “achievements” are activities, not accomplishments.

She does have one hell of a resume: First Lady, Senator, Secretary of State. When you talk to people who say they will vote for Clinton, many say they like that she’s a woman president out of central casting – tough and strong, with the slightly dystopian Corporate Leader wardrobe to boot.

The Bad: The trouble for Hillary is, this is an anti-establishment year. Donald Trump, Ted Cruz and Bernie Sanders are benefitting from an electorate whose simmering disappointment over the replacement of Hope and Change in 2008 with the Too Big To Fail bank bailouts of 2009 is finally being articulated into rage at the ballot box.

Clinton can’t run away from her Beltway insiderdom. She’s just the wrong candidate for this year. Which means that, if she wins the nomination, she’ll go into the general election campaign as bruised by Bernie Sanders as Jimmy Carter was in 1980 after facing Ted Kennedy. Many Bernie Sanders Democrats will sit on their hands in November if she’s the nominee.

Hillary isn’t stupid. She knows her formidable organizational advantages no longer guarantee her once “inevitable” campaign. So she’s co-opting Bernie’s positions on health care and other issues of interest to progressives.

The Ugly: Obama’s famous 2008 slight that Hillary was “likeable enough” turns out not to be so true. On the campaign trail and on TV, Hillary is charmless. She can’t explain away her conservative record. She’s never met a free trade deal or a war she didn’t like; millions of jobs and people are dead as a result.

But Hillary’s biggest flaw as a candidate isn’t policy. It’s her failure to internalize two truisms – candidates win by projecting an optimistic vision and elections aren’t about the candidate. They’re about the people.

Obama didn’t win in 2008 by running as Future First Black President. He projected a winning disposition and a sense of the future we could buy into. Hope! Change! Yes We Can! Hillary’s campaign is all about her, not us.

That’s political suicide.

Ted Rall’s next book is After We Kill You, We Will Welcome You Back As Honored Guests: Unembedded in Afghanistan.